Vegas Odds: Bears vs. Lions |
Well, this is embarrassing for Chicago Bears fans. According to DraftKings, the Bears will be 10-point underdogs when they face the Detroit Lions on Thanksgiving (11:30 a.m. / CBS). The over / under is 48.5.
Despite being a 4-7 team, this is the first time all season Chicago has been a double-digit underdog. Given their competitiveness in the past two games, as the last play of the game decided both, the 10-point spread seems too much. Furthermore, the Bears are losing by an average of 7.71 points; five of their seven losses have been one-possession games. While Chicago tends to lose, they tend to do it heartbreakingly, which requires keeping the game close. For this reason, the Bears will cover the 10-point spread. Detroit is a team that likes to score as they are the second-highest scoring team in the NFL, averaging almost 33 points per game. With their rushing duo in David Montgomery and Jahmyr Gibbs and Chicago’s struggles against the run, it seems feasible they will put up a lot of points. On the other hand, the Bears' offense has performed better since Thomas Brown became the play caller. Last week against the Minnesota Vikings, Chicago put up 27 points, their most against a team with a winning record this year. Therefore, both offenses are going to be putting up some points and they will hit the over. The Lions have been shutting down opposing quarterbacks all season, especially over the past few weeks. In their last two games, they have not allowed over 200 passing yards. However, given those games were against the Jacksonville Jaguars with Mac Jones and the Indianapolis Colts with Anthony Richardson, their performance has to be taken with a grain of salt. Green Bay Packers quarterback Jordan Love put up over 270 passing yards on them in week nine, so it can be done. Rookie quarterback Caleb Williams is coming off a game with 340 passing yards. He will probably be passing the ball a lot in this matchup and, therefore, will have at least 225 passing yards. Ever since Brown became the offensive coordinator, he has been getting wide receiver DJ Moore involved more in the offense. In the two games with Brown as offensive coordinator, he has 168 receiving yards. That is more than any other two-game span this season. During his career, Moore has played the Lions five times previously and averages over 100 receiving yards against them. While he may not hit 100 yards like he did last week, Moore will have at least 80 receiving yards. This seems like a given by now, but running back Roschon Johnson will score a touchdown in this game. He may not be getting much action this season, but when the ball is at the one-yard line, Johnson gets the ball. Johnson has a touchdown in the past two games and leads the team in total touchdowns this season with six. It is hard to argue with consistency, and he is as consistent as anyone can expect in football. Quarterback Jared Goff has played against the Chicago Bears nine times. In those nine games, he has ten interceptions, the second-most out of any team he has played. Goff has been incredibly accurate this season and seldom turns the ball over. However, if Goff is going to throw another interception this year, it will probably be against the Chicago Bears. Therefore, Goff has at least one interception against the Bears defense. Same Game Parlay In a same-game parlay with Chicago covering the spread (-108), the over hitting (-108), Williams having at least 225 passing yards (-130), Moore getting at least 80 receiving yards (+245), Johnson scoring a touchdown (+200), and the Bears defense forcing at least one interception out of Goff (+125), the parlay would have +4400 odds. Therefore, a $5 bet would pay out $225, according to DraftKings.
